Japonya (K) 1-0 Kanada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Dec 2025

Japonya (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Kanada (K)
📅02/12/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.3
6+ Goals
8%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Japonya (K) v Kanada (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.31/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.04
-99% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
26.0 Crosses 15.0
– Yellow Cards 1.6

Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kanada (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.46 xG 0.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
451 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.11.2025 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) HAZ
23.02.2023 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
21.07.2021 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) OLİ
06.10.2019 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) HAZ
29.10.2014 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
25.07.2012 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) OLİ

Japonya (K) 1-0 Kanada (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya (K)
1-0
AWAY Kanada (K)
2.01 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
382 Passes 354
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya (K) squeezed past Kanada (K) 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Japonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Japonya (K) had 50% of the ball to Kanada (K)'s 50%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.01 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Japonya (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Japonya (K) and 0.67 for Kanada (K).

What was the final score of Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K)?

Japonya (K) 1-0 Kanada (K) in the Friendlies on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Japonya (K) 58%, draw 21%, Kanada (K) 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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