Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Japonya (K) v Kanada (K) — Team-Based Signals
Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Japonya (K) 1-0 Kanada (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Japonya (K) squeezed past Kanada (K) 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Japonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 50% to 50% in Japonya (K)'s favour, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.01 to 0.82.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Japonya (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Japonya (K) against 0.67 for Kanada (K).
Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K) Result & Final Score
Japonya (K) 1 - 0 Kanada (K) in the Friendlies on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Japonya (K) 62%, draw 22%, Kanada (K) 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.