Atalanta vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atalanta v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
2-1
HT 1-1
Sassuolo
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Atalanta
İTA
2-1
HT 2-1
Sassuolo
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Atalanta
İTA
Atalanta 3-1 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta beat Sassuolo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Atalanta had 58% of the ball to Sassuolo's 42%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.96 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atalanta and 1.00 for Sassuolo.
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
Atalanta 3-1 Sassuolo in the Italy - Cup on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 52%, draw 23%, Sassuolo 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.