Roma vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Cremonese
İTK
1-0
HT 0-0
Cremonese
İTA
Roma 2-1 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics
Roma squeezed past Cremonese 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Roma had 57% of the ball to Cremonese's 43%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 4.39 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roma's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cremonese led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roma and 1.33 for Cremonese.
What was the final score of Roma vs Cremonese?
Roma 2-1 Cremonese in the Italy - Cup on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Cremonese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Roma 56%, draw 26%, Cremonese 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.