Asyut Petroleum 3-2 Misr Lel Makasa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asyut Petroleum EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Misr Lel Makasa EU Bookmakers 17%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/3.99
-17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / -62%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Asyut Petroleum vs Misr Lel Makasa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asyut Petroleum squeezed past Misr Lel Makasa 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Asyut Petroleum as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Asyut Petroleum vs Misr Lel Makasa?

Asyut Petroleum 3-2 Misr Lel Makasa in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asyut Petroleum vs Misr Lel Makasa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asyut Petroleum win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Asyut Petroleum 52%, draw 27%, Misr Lel Makasa 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asyut Petroleum) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asyut Petroleum) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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