Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 El Nasr Taadeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
30%
4.49
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
72%
-18.2pp
30%
Draw
19%
+10.6pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.9pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY El Nasr Taadeen EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +140% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
1-0
AWAY El Nasr Taadeen
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Nasr Taadeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla edged past El Nasr Taadeen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ghazl El Mehalla as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 55% of the ball to El Nasr Taadeen's 45%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Nasr Taadeen?

Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 El Nasr Taadeen in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Nasr Taadeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 54%, draw 30%, El Nasr Taadeen 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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