03/01/2024
·
15:50
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Hottain vs Al Qous Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
39%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
53%
Home Win
51%
27%
Draw
28%
20%
Away Win
21%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hottain v Al Qous — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hottain
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Qous
The Market 24%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
318 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
217 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Hottain vs Al Qous
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hottain squeezed past Al Qous 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hottain as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Hottain vs Al Qous?
Hottain 1-0 Al Qous in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hottain vs Al Qous?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hottain win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hottain 53%, draw 27%, Al Qous 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hottain), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Hottain)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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3 Jan 2024