03/01/2024
·
15:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Jerash FC vs Tuwaiq Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
Over
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
41%
4-5
15%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
27%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
45%
34%
Draw
31%
27%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jerash FC v Tuwaiq — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jerash FC
The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tuwaiq
The Market 28%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-38% /
-38%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+10%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
6
294 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
363 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Jerash FC vs Tuwaiq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jerash FC ran out comfortable winners over Tuwaiq 3-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Jerash FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Jerash FC vs Tuwaiq?
Jerash FC 3-0 Tuwaiq in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jerash FC vs Tuwaiq?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jerash FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jerash FC 39%, draw 34%, Tuwaiq 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerash FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Jerash FC)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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SUUD2
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3 Jan 2024