AS Slimane 1-2 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Grup A, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.95
No
70%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
46%
2.11
2-3 Goals
31%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.46
6+ Goals
7%
37.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.11 — our 46% vs market 39.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
+6.4pp
33%
Draw
23%
+9.5pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-15.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.9pp
30%
BTTS Yes
30%
+0.4pp
70%
BTTS No
70%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Slimane EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 70%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.67
+28% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +32%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Slimane
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 3-0 HT 1-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1A
12.02.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 HT 1-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TNUSK
02.03.2022 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 HT 1-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1B
25.11.2021 AS Slimane AS Slimane 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1B
07.03.2021 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 HT 1-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1
18.12.2020 AS Slimane AS Slimane 2-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
POST-MATCH AS Slimane vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Du Sahel nicked a narrow win over AS Slimane 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Etoile Du Sahel as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for AS Slimane and 1.67 for Etoile Du Sahel.

What was the final score of AS Slimane vs Etoile Du Sahel?

AS Slimane 1-2 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division Grup A on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Slimane vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AS Slimane 17%, draw 33%, Etoile Du Sahel 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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