ES Metlaoui 0-1 AS Marsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Grup B, 3 Jan 2024

ES Metlaoui
0-1 HT 0-1
AS Marsa
📅03/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division Grup B – 2023/2024

ES Metlaoui vs AS Marsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
5.7
6+ Goals
8%
40.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
55%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.8pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ES Metlaoui v AS Marsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -63%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

ES Metlaoui vs AS Marsa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
0W-3D-0L
AWAY AS Marsa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2023 AS Marsa AS Marsa 1-1 HT 0-1 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
31.10.2015 AS Marsa AS Marsa 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
19.04.2015 AS Marsa AS Marsa 2-2 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs AS Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa nicked a narrow win over ES Metlaoui 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was ES Metlaoui at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ES Metlaoui and 1.00 for AS Marsa.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs AS Marsa?

ES Metlaoui 0-1 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division Grup B on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs AS Marsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 50%, draw 27%, AS Marsa 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ES Metlaoui) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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