ES Tunis 1-1 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Grup B, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.3
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
48%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.72
6+ Goals
7%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
73%
-20.9pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.6pp
21%
Away Win
9%
+12.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+11.9pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 11%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.64/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.48
-11% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
6W-0D-0L
AWAY CA Bizertin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 0-2 HT 0-2 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1B
05.04.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TNUSK
02.02.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-0 HT 2-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1A
02.11.2022 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1A
09.03.2022 ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-0 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1A
03.02.2021 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Tunis
1-1
AWAY CA Bizertin
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis and CA Bizertin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was ES Tunis at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ES Tunis had 59% of the ball to CA Bizertin's 41%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for ES Tunis and 0.00 for CA Bizertin.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs CA Bizertin?

ES Tunis 1-1 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division Grup B on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 52%, draw 27%, CA Bizertin 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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TUN1B More Tunisia - 1st Division Grup B
3 Jan 2024
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