Mes Soongoun 1-0 Pars Jam Bushehr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 3 Jan 2025

📅03/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.38
Over 2.5
38%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
6.58
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
69%
-7.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
31%
+7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.5pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.38/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.97
+36% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Soongoun
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.04.2024 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 1-1 HT 1-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
02.11.2023 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr 2-1 HT 0-1 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Soongoun vs Pars Jam Bushehr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Soongoun nicked a narrow win over Pars Jam Bushehr 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mes Soongoun as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pars Jam Bushehr led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mes Soongoun and 1.50 for Pars Jam Bushehr.

What was the final score of Mes Soongoun vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Mes Soongoun 1-0 Pars Jam Bushehr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Soongoun vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Soongoun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mes Soongoun 41%, draw 30%, Pars Jam Bushehr 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Soongoun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mes Soongoun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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