Sanat Naft 1-1 Ario Eslamshahr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 3 Jan 2025

📅03/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.44
No
68%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
11%
7.09
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.0pp
32%
BTTS Yes
37%
-4.7pp
68%
BTTS No
63%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.97/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.14
+70% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Ario Eslamshahr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft and Ario Eslamshahr shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sanat Naft at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Sanat Naft 1-1 Ario Eslamshahr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanat Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 44%, draw 29%, Ario Eslamshahr 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanat Naft), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanat Naft) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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