Alanyaspor 2-1 Konyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Jan 2025

📅03/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.94
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
18%
4.8
X/2
9%
7.07
X/X
10%
4.53
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.1
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.25
Value flag · 2/X at 13.25 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.58/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.26
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.3 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Konyaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.89 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
413 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
02.12.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-2 HT 2-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
16.05.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-3 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
25.12.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
27.02.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 5-1 HT 4-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
02.10.2021 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
2-1
AWAY Konyaspor
1.89 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
321 Passes 357
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor edged past Konyaspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alanyaspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 48% of the ball to Konyaspor's 52%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.89 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.50 for Konyaspor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor?

Alanyaspor 2-1 Konyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 45%, draw 27%, Konyaspor 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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