Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Jan 2025

📅03/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.55
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.71
X/2
9%
5.93
X/X
15%
5.01
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
3.75
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.62/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.27
+3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
19.2 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.11 xG 2.22
46% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
310 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
09.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-4 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
09.01.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
13.08.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
28.04.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-3 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
13.01.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
2.54 xG 0.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
304 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor and Beşiktaş shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 47% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 53%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.54 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 2.67 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş?

Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 37%, draw 31%, Beşiktaş 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
3 Jan 2025
20:00 Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor Analysis →