Beşiktaş 3-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 27% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.33
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.38
X/2
9%
8.62
X/X
16%
5.51
2/1
9%
21.45
2/2
14%
5.97
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.73/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.80
-3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.8 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.35 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
317 Passes 332
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-4 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
09.01.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
13.08.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
28.04.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-3 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
13.01.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
06.01.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 6-0 HT 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
3-2
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
2.07 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
427 Passes 258
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş edged past Çaykur Rizespor 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 60% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 40%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 2.07 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Beşiktaş and 0.67 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Beşiktaş 3-2 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 42%, draw 29%, Çaykur Rizespor 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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