MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 30% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.97
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
10%
4.93
X/2
11%
6.81
X/X
13%
4.68
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.7
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.41/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.19
-1% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.8 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.42 xG 1.32
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 Passes 446
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
12.03.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
09.09.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
15.05.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
25.01.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 4-3 HT 1-2 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
04.07.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-4 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.91 xG 2.51
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
242 Passes 463
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü and Alanyaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 36% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 64%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.91 to 2.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 2.00 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Alanyaspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 39%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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