Alanyaspor 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Jan 2024

📅09/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.86
6+ Goals
13%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.61
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.24
X/2
9%
7.59
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.89
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.68/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.44
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.4 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
5W-0D-1L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.66 xG 1.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
416 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
09.09.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
15.05.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
25.01.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 4-3 HT 1-2 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
04.07.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-4 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
30.11.2019 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 5-0 HT 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-1
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.61 xG 0.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
503 Passes 276
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor and MKE Ankaragücü couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 62% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 38%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.61 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.17 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Alanyaspor 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - Super League on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 45%, draw 27%, MKE Ankaragücü 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ BTTS No
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