Kasımpaşa 0-3 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Jan 2024

Kasımpaşa
0-3 HT 0-1
Başakşehir FK
📅09/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.16
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
16%
5.22
X/2
11%
6.17
X/X
9%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.3
2/2
16%
4.0
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kasımpaşa v Başakşehir FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.72/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.28
+36% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
22.1 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.18 xG 2.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
297 Passes 425
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-3 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
08.08.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 4-0 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
30.04.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-3 HT 1-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
11.12.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
22.04.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
27.12.2020 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL

Kasımpaşa 0-3 Başakşehir FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
0-3
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.76 xG 1.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK swept aside Kasımpaşa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kasımpaşa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 55% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 45%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.76 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kasımpaşa and 2.50 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir FK?

Kasımpaşa 0-3 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 42%, draw 25%, Başakşehir FK 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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