Pendikspor 0-1 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Jan 2024

📅09/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
44%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.9
6+ Goals
11%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.84
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
8%
5.51
X/2
18%
5.4
X/X
8%
4.26
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.73
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.23/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.26
-20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
24.6 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Antalyaspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.11.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TÜK
25.11.2020 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
0-1
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.31 xG 1.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
339 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor nicked a narrow win over Pendikspor 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Antalyaspor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pendikspor had 56% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 44%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.31 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Pendikspor and 2.50 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Antalyaspor?

Pendikspor 0-1 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 31%, draw 25%, Antalyaspor 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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