Çaykur Rizespor 0-4 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Jan 2024

Çaykur Rizespor
0-4 HT 0-2
Beşiktaş
📅09/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.37
1/2
11%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
12%
5.35
X/2
7%
5.88
X/X
14%
4.89
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
14%
3.85
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Çaykur Rizespor v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +12%
1.60/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.31
+9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.0 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.19 xG 2.11
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
318 Passes 372
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.01.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
13.08.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
28.04.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-3 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
13.01.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
06.01.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 6-0 HT 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
01.02.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-2 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL

Çaykur Rizespor 0-4 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0-4
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.56 xG 2.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
28 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
329 Passes 279
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş swept aside Çaykur Rizespor 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Beşiktaş found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 54% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 46%, shots finished 28-15, expected goals 1.56 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 2.83 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş?

Çaykur Rizespor 0-4 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 40%, draw 28%, Beşiktaş 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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