Spalding United 3-0 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.32
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Spalding United win — 75%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
71%
+3.7pp
14%
Draw
17%
-3.2pp
11%
Away Win
12%
-0.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.1pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 15%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
3.28/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.94
+43% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spalding United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Barwell
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.04.2025 Barwell Barwell 1-7 HT 0-2 Spalding United Spalding United İNGNLP
07.12.2024 Spalding United Spalding United 2-1 HT 2-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United ran out comfortable winners over Barwell 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spalding United as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (74%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spalding United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Spalding United and 1.00 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Barwell?

Spalding United 3-0 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 75%, draw 14%, Barwell 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spalding United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spalding United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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