Spalding United 2-1 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+9.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.80/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.51
+21% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United squeezed past Barwell 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spalding United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Barwell?

Spalding United 2-1 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 47%, draw 23%, Barwell 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spalding United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spalding United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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