Ilkeston Town 3-0 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-18% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.37/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.26
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Worksop Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.09.2024 Worksop Town Worksop Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
13.01.2024 Worksop Town Worksop Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
09.09.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
3-0
AWAY Worksop Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town swept aside Worksop Town 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Worksop Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 56% of the ball to Worksop Town's 44%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Worksop Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ilkeston Town and 1.67 for Worksop Town.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Worksop Town?

Ilkeston Town 3-0 Worksop Town in the England - Non League Premier on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 35%, draw 22%, Worksop Town 44%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Worksop Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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