Worksop Town 1-2 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.50/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.52
+20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worksop Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town squeezed past Worksop Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Worksop Town at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Worksop Town 1-2 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 55%, draw 20%, Ilkeston Town 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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