13/01/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Salisbury vs AFC Totton Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
22%
Draw
25%
45%
Away Win
36%
44%
Under 2.5
43%
56%
Over 2.5
57%
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
44%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salisbury v AFC Totton — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Salisbury
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
AFC Totton
EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% /
+10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-13%
1.22/1.43
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.95/1.24
-23%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+37%
/
+21%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
283 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
326 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.7
Yellow Cards
–
Salisbury vs AFC Totton Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Salisbury
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
AFC Totton
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
12.08.2023
AFC Totton
0-2
HT 0-2
Salisbury
İNGNLP
0-2
HT 0-2
Salisbury
İNGNLP
POST-MATCH
Salisbury vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
AFC Totton edged past Salisbury 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Salisbury vs AFC Totton?
Salisbury 0-1 AFC Totton in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salisbury vs AFC Totton?
Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 32%, draw 22%, AFC Totton 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (AFC Totton)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
13 Jan 2024