Salisbury 0-1 AFC Totton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+9.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.22/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.24
-23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Totton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.08.2023 AFC Totton AFC Totton 0-2 HT 0-2 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton edged past Salisbury 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs AFC Totton?

Salisbury 0-1 AFC Totton in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs AFC Totton?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 32%, draw 22%, AFC Totton 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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