Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.46/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.61
-8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
306 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Morpeth Town
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
2 Corners 4
09.09.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
14.01.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
25.10.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
04.12.2021 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
07.09.2021 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0-2
AWAY Morpeth Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town beat Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Morpeth Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 49% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 51%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Morpeth Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.60 for Morpeth Town.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town?

Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 33%, draw 27%, Morpeth Town 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Morpeth Town) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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