AFC Sudbury 0-1 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.63
No
58%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
57%
-15.4pp
58%
BTTS No
43%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.45
-44% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alvechurch
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Sudbury
0-1
AWAY Alvechurch
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch nicked a narrow win over AFC Sudbury 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Sudbury at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, AFC Sudbury had 55% of the ball to Alvechurch's 45%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch?

AFC Sudbury 0-1 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Sudbury win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 45%, draw 20%, Alvechurch 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Sudbury), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Sudbury) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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