Dorchester Town 4-2 Hungerford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.00/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.46
+15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorchester Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hungerford Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 2-4 HT 0-0 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
12.09.2023 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Dorchester Town vs Hungerford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town saw off Hungerford Town 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dorchester Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hungerford Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dorchester Town and 2.50 for Hungerford Town.

What was the final score of Dorchester Town vs Hungerford Town?

Dorchester Town 4-2 Hungerford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorchester Town vs Hungerford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dorchester Town 48%, draw 27%, Hungerford Town 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorchester Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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