Rayo Majadahonda 4-1 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.80/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.91
-39% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
4-1
AWAY Intercity Alicante
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayo Majadahonda vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda ran out comfortable winners over Intercity Alicante 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rayo Majadahonda as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Majadahonda had 52% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 48%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Rayo Majadahonda vs Intercity Alicante?

Rayo Majadahonda 4-1 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Majadahonda vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rayo Majadahonda 44%, draw 28%, Intercity Alicante 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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