Xerez 1-0 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.9pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
0.83/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.21
-36% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.04.2025 Xerez Deportivo 2-1 HT 1-0 Xerez Xerez İS4
15.12.2024 Xerez Xerez 0-0 HT 0-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
1-0
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez nicked a narrow win over Xerez Deportivo 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Xerez had 41% of the ball to Xerez Deportivo's 59%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Xerez Deportivo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Xerez and 1.00 for Xerez Deportivo.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Xerez Deportivo?

Xerez 1-0 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Xerez 48%, draw 31%, Xerez Deportivo 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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