Xerez Deportivo 2-1 Xerez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.84/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.83
-25% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez Deportivo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Xerez
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Xerez Xerez 0-0 HT 0-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
2-1
AWAY Xerez
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo squeezed past Xerez 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Xerez Deportivo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 36% of the ball to Xerez's 64%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez?

Xerez Deportivo 2-1 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez?

Before kick-off our model rated an Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 34%, draw 28%, Xerez 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xerez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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