Coruxo 1-0 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruxo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +12%
1.32/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.20
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coruxo
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-1 HT 1-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
10.03.2024 Coruxo Coruxo 2-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
29.10.2023 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 2-1 HT 1-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
25.02.2023 Coruxo Coruxo 1-2 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
09.10.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 0-2 HT 0-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coruxo
1-0
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coruxo vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coruxo nicked a narrow win over Rayo Cantabria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coruxo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Coruxo had 61% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 39%, shots finished 24-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Coruxo and 1.00 for Rayo Cantabria.

What was the final score of Coruxo vs Rayo Cantabria?

Coruxo 1-0 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruxo vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coruxo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Coruxo 43%, draw 27%, Rayo Cantabria 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coruxo) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coruxo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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