Bergantinos 1-4 Escobedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Escobedo EU Bookmakers 31%
-21% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.18/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.65
-9% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +85%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Escobedo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Escobedo Escobedo 1-1 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bergantinos
1-4
AWAY Escobedo
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Escobedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Escobedo cruised past Bergantinos 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bergantinos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bergantinos had 54% of the ball to Escobedo's 46%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Escobedo?

Bergantinos 1-4 Escobedo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Escobedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 42%, draw 25%, Escobedo 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✗ Under 2.5
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