Milan U20 2-1 Roma U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma U20 EU Bookmakers 46%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.87/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/1.39
-37% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U20
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Roma U20
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2025 Roma U20 Roma U20 1-3 HT 0-0 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
02.12.2024 Milan U20 Milan U20 0-3 HT 0-2 Roma U20 Roma U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Roma U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 edged past Roma U20 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Roma U20 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Milan U20 and 2.00 for Roma U20.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Roma U20?

Milan U20 2-1 Roma U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Roma U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 28%, draw 26%, Roma U20 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roma U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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