Roma U20 1-3 Milan U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.95
Over 2.5
38%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.9pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma U20 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.65/1.34
-45% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Milan U20
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Milan U20 Milan U20 0-3 HT 0-2 Roma U20 Roma U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma U20
1-3
AWAY Milan U20
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roma U20 vs Milan U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 got the better of Roma U20 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Milan U20 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roma U20 had 46% of the ball to Milan U20's 54%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Roma U20 vs Milan U20?

Roma U20 1-3 Milan U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma U20 vs Milan U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Roma U20 39%, draw 25%, Milan U20 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roma U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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