Empoli U20 1-0 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 56%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.63/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/0.99
-61% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +69%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.01.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 4-4 HT 1-2 Empoli U20 Empoli U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli U20
1-0
AWAY Fiorentina U20
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Empoli U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli U20 edged past Fiorentina U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U20 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Empoli U20 had 41% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 59%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of Empoli U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Empoli U20 1-0 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Empoli U20 32%, draw 23%, Fiorentina U20 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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