Atalanta U20 2-1 Lecce U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.68
No
37%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.8pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta U20 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 31%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.78/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.61
-1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
291 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lecce U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.12.2024 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 2-1 HT 2-1 Atalanta U20 Atalanta U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta U20
2-1
AWAY Lecce U20
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atalanta U20 vs Lecce U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta U20 nicked a narrow win over Lecce U20 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Atalanta U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atalanta U20 had 47% of the ball to Lecce U20's 53%, shots finished 8-4.

What was the final score of Atalanta U20 vs Lecce U20?

Atalanta U20 2-1 Lecce U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta U20 vs Lecce U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atalanta U20 40%, draw 31%, Lecce U20 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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