W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-1 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
58%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
21%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.09/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.90
-13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
15.7 Crosses 31.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.77 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
280 Passes 243
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
18.01.2025 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
13.03.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
09.03.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
26.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-2 HT 0-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-1
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.83 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
225 Passes 291
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and Canberra United (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Canberra United (K) at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 45% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 55%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.83 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.33 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-1 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 15%, draw 27%, Canberra United (K) 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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