Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.63
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
35%
-3.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.1pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
0.63/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.32
-39% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 164 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Welayta Dicha
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 0-1 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha ETH
29.01.2025 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 0-2 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
20.04.2024 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 1-0 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1-1
AWAY Welayta Dicha
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis and Welayta Dicha couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kedus Giorgis at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 52% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 48%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Welayta Dicha led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kedus Giorgis and 0.67 for Welayta Dicha.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Welayta Dicha?

Kedus Giorgis 1-1 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 41%, draw 31%, Welayta Dicha 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kedus Giorgis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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