Welayta Dicha 1-0 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.2pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.4pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -67% / -67%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+101% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -85%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welayta Dicha
1-0
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welayta Dicha edged past Kedus Giorgis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kedus Giorgis at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Welayta Dicha had 36% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 64%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?

Welayta Dicha 1-0 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welayta Dicha vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Welayta Dicha 22%, draw 35%, Kedus Giorgis 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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