Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 Shashemene Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Shashemene Kenema EU Bookmakers 23%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.50
-30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
370 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
1-0
AWAY Shashemene Kenema
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Shashemene Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema nicked a narrow win over Shashemene Kenema 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dire Dawa Kenema as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 53% of the ball to Shashemene Kenema's 47%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Shashemene Kenema?

Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 Shashemene Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Shashemene Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dire Dawa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 50%, draw 23%, Shashemene Kenema 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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