Boston United 3-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 31% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.84/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.84
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Southport
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Southport Southport 0-2 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
14.03.2023 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 1-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
06.08.2022 Boston United Boston United 3-5 HT 0-3 Southport Southport İCON
12.02.2022 Boston United Boston United 1-1 HT 0-1 Southport Southport İCON
13.11.2021 Southport Southport 4-1 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
31.10.2020 Southport Southport 0-1 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston United
3-0
AWAY Southport
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United cruised past Southport 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boston United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston United had 64% of the ball to Southport's 36%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Boston United and 1.83 for Southport.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Southport?

Boston United 3-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Boston United 47%, draw 25%, Southport 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
3 Feb 2024
18:00 Welling United vs Taunton Town Analysis →
18:00 Scunthorpe United vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
18:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Chippenham Town Analysis →
18:00 Bath City vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
18:00 Brackley Town vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
18:00 Havant & Waterlooville vs Chelmsford City Analysis →