Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +34%
1.21/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.10
-34% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chippenham Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
22.04.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
22.10.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-0 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
19.03.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-0 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
18.01.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
12.01.2021 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 4-0 HT 2-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
2-0
AWAY Chippenham Town
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels saw off Chippenham Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tonbridge Angels as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 43% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 57%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tonbridge Angels had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 0.50 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Chippenham Town?

Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tonbridge Angels win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 44%, draw 26%, Chippenham Town 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tonbridge Angels), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tonbridge Angels) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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