Ayr United 1-2 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 3 Feb 2024

Ayr United
1-2 HT 1-0
Dundee United
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Ayr United vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
57%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 31% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.06
1/2
9%
22.6
1/X
5%
16.25
X/1
7%
10.3
X/2
23%
3.8
X/X
13%
5.4
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
24%
2.04
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 62%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -5%
0.55/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.52
-45% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Ayr United vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dundee United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
26.08.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-3 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
14.08.2021 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
03.03.2020 Ayr United Ayr United 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
21.12.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 4-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
14.09.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL

Ayr United 1-2 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayr United
1-2
AWAY Dundee United
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United edged past Ayr United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundee United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ayr United had 45% of the ball to Dundee United's 55%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ayr United and 1.50 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Dundee United?

Ayr United 1-2 Dundee United in the Scotland - Championship on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 20%, draw 23%, Dundee United 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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