Dunfermline Athletic 0-5 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 3 Feb 2024

Dunfermline Athletic
0-5 HT 0-2
Greenock Morton
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
49%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.51
6+ Goals
7%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.69
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
9%
5.5
X/2
11%
5.49
X/X
15%
4.59
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
16%
3.68
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunfermline Athletic v Greenock Morton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.23/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.23
-4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.55 xG 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
455 Passes 149
78% Pass Accuracy 55%
40 Box Touches 12
38 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-2 HT 0-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
23.09.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
18.03.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
08.01.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 5-0 HT 3-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
06.11.2021 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-3 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
31.07.2021 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-2 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL

Dunfermline Athletic 0-5 Greenock Morton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
0-5
AWAY Greenock Morton
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton ran out comfortable winners over Dunfermline Athletic 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Greenock Morton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dunfermline Athletic had 40% of the ball to Greenock Morton's 60%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 2.17 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton?

Dunfermline Athletic 0-5 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 39%, draw 27%, Greenock Morton 34%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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