Algeciras 1-1 Alcoyano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
6.04
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.29/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.12
+4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Alcoyano
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.10.2023 Alcoyano Alcoyano 1-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
19.02.2022 Algeciras Algeciras 1-2 HT 0-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
31.10.2021 Alcoyano Alcoyano 0-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-1
AWAY Alcoyano
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Alcoyano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras and Alcoyano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Algeciras had 47% of the ball to Alcoyano's 53%, shots finished 3-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alcoyano led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Algeciras and 1.00 for Alcoyano.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Alcoyano?

Algeciras 1-1 Alcoyano in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Alcoyano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 39%, draw 32%, Alcoyano 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Algeciras), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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