Atletico Madrid II 1-1 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
47%
-11.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.03/2.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.79
+1% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Castellon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1-1
AWAY CD Castellon
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II and CD Castellon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 34% of the ball to CD Castellon's 66%, shots finished 4-5.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs CD Castellon?

Atletico Madrid II 1-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 36%, draw 28%, CD Castellon 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ BTTS Yes
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