Basel vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Basel v Lugano — Team-Based Signals
Basel vs Lugano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Basel
İSV
1-1
HT 1-0
Lugano
İSV
2-2
HT 2-0
Basel
İSV
1-0
HT 1-0
Basel
İSV
0-2
HT 0-0
Lugano
İSV
2-1
HT 1-1
Lugano
İSV
Basel 0-1 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics
Lugano nicked a narrow win over Basel 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Lugano found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Basel had 54% of the ball to Lugano's 46%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.71 to 0.89 — on chances, Basel could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Basel and 1.33 for Lugano.
What was the final score of Basel vs Lugano?
Basel 0-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Basel vs Lugano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Basel 34%, draw 25%, Lugano 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.