Grasshoppers 0-1 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
29%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.33
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.25
X/2
11%
5.81
X/X
15%
5.01
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
15%
3.84
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.45/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.39
+50% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
15.2 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Winterthur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 3-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
22.04.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-2 HT 0-2 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
12.03.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
15.10.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
04.09.2022 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-0 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
10.05.2021 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
0-1
AWAY Winterthur
0.77 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
360 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur nicked a narrow win over Grasshoppers 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Winterthur found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 53% of the ball to Winterthur's 47%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.77 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.33 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Winterthur?

Grasshoppers 0-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 39%, draw 26%, Winterthur 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
3 Feb 2024
22:30 Basel vs Lugano Analysis →