Empoli 0-0 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 3 Feb 2024

Empoli
0-0 HT 0-0
Genoa
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.17
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.72
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.16
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
16%
5.34
X/2
15%
5.31
X/X
17%
3.38
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
11%
4.13
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.48/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.14
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
16.2 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Genoa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
393 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Genoa Genoa 1-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
06.03.2022 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
05.11.2021 Empoli Empoli 2-2 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
28.01.2019 Empoli Empoli 1-3 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
26.08.2018 Genoa Genoa 2-1 HT 2-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
05.03.2017 Empoli Empoli 0-2 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
0-0
AWAY Genoa
0.57 xG 0.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
310 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Genoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Genoa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Empoli had 48% of the ball to Genoa's 52%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.57 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Empoli and 1.67 for Genoa.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Genoa?

Empoli 0-0 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Genoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Empoli 36%, draw 30%, Genoa 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Empoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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